The Global Scenario Group argued that the Conventional Worlds scenarios are plausible but not guaranteed; to avoid the risk of Barbarization, society should follow the Great Transitions paths.

• 全球情境模拟小组认为，保守世界看似合理但不保证安全；为了避免野蛮世界的风险，社会应该选择的是良好转型的道路。