in addition, marginal electricity price forecasting mode of spot transactions considering themarket factors is also put forward, which acquires better effects than simple timeliness serialmodels do.

• 并提出了考虑市场因素的现货交易边际电价预测模型：自回归滑动平均模型和神经网络模型，取得了比纯时间序列预测模型更好的效果。