Yet in a region where nationalism is rife, territorial disputes fester, and arms races abound, miscalculation or misplaced hubris could lead to tragedy.

• 但是在这个民族主义盛行、领土争端加剧、军备竞赛增多的地区，错误的估算或是不合时宜的嘲笑都会引向悲剧。