The results show that the model output convective parameters can reflect the difference between the storm and no storm days and can forecast the happening time and area of the storm.

• 结果表明模式输出参数能较好地反映雷暴和非雷暴日的区别，较实况探空而言，模式输出不仅可以从参数的大小，而且可以从参数的变化趋势来来判断雷暴的发生；