The prerequisite is the analysis of the historical process and the present situation and the foundation is the sensus of the school age and makes a forecast of the development index of the schools.

• 研究以分析我国基础教育阶段民办学校发展的历史进程和现状为前提,城乡基础教育阶段学龄人口预测为基础,运用回归分析法、国际比较法、专家访谈法等方法对基础教育阶段民办学校发展指标的指数进行预测。