The forecast exactness is improved by the integrated method in which the weight of each basic method is decided by error between the virtual forecast result and the real value.

• 综合模型是通过虚拟预测结果与实际负荷值之间的误差来评价得到每个单一方法应取的权重，从而综合了多种预测方法，提高了预测精度。