The consensus is almost always wrong in some respect; the question is in which respects the economy will surprise us. A lot rides on how much hiring employers do.

• 普遍预期在某些方面几乎总是有错误的；问题在于，经济会在哪些方面让我们出乎意料。这在很大程度上取决于雇主将会招聘多少人。