In the paper, a Grey Model GM (1,1) and a Metabolizing Model are used for the fire prediction of some province and compared them to provide decision references for the concerning governments.

• 本文通过建立GM(1,1)模型和新陈代谢模型实例预测某省火灾事故发生量,并将两种方法相比较,为相关部门提供科学的决策依据。