Based on phase-space reconstitution the nonlinear dynamic mode of hydrologic system is inversely transformed and a self-memory hydrologic prediction model is established.

• 本文在相空间重构的基础上，反演了水文系统动力模式，据此进一步建立了相空间自记忆预测模型，并将该模型应用于月径流量预测。